Rant on Stimulus Funds
Tuesday, January 31, 2012 at 08:54PM The theory, practice and implementation of government intervention to stimulate the economy and/or encourage certain societal behaviors has been an interesting journey for me personally over the past several years.
As a primer, I have been greatly influenced by some reading and writing I had done almost two years ago on the stimulus funding passed in 2009 labled the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009. As we approach the three year anniversary of this historic spending bill, I wanted to give some updates to what has actually been "spent".
Through November 2011, here is a breakdown of the $732 billion that has been spent against the appropriated $900 billion spending bill:
- Tax Benefits - $300 billion
- Contracts,Grants and Loans - $217 billion
- Entitlements - $215 billion
Approximately 80% of the total tax benefits were passed to individuals. So from a total "outlay" perspective over $455 billion (or 62%) of the $731 billion "spent" thus far has been directed to individuals and 41% has been provided merely in the form of less taxes.
So have we experienced a stimulus to the economy through this spending bill? I would argue that the theory behind the bill was correct, however the implementation and allocation of appropriated dollars was misdirected. Only 29% of the total "spending" has been actual new spending in the form of contracts, grants and loans... truly stimulus generating activities (e.g. road improvements, small business incentives).
As learned, incentives directed to individual consumers that are already deeply ridden in debt is not a stimulus driving event. Those government incentives are going to repay debt, expenses already incurred and expended in the past... this does not push money into the economy to spur economic activity (except for the benefits derived by banks and merchant card companies).
As Brian Wesbury says in It's Not as Bad as you Think, it is not the capitalistic system that failed, it was all the government invention that disrupted the natural cycle in the economy.
The good news is that additional spending bills slowed significantly in 2011. That provided a breather to the onslaught of new regulations and uncertainty for the decision makers for businesses. Here's to a belief in our economic system that will adjust and correct as needed to meet the needs of an ever changing marketplace.



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